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quarta-feira, novembro 04, 2009

Wakeup call - 04.11.09

Watch out for ISM-Nonmanufacturing from the US today

Positive sentiment from US Vehicle Sales and Factory Orders and ISM Manufacturing should continue into today’s US session, but the ISM Non-Manufacturing could be the party-killer.

· Positive sentiment from earnings, US Vehicle Sales and Factory Orders and ISM Manufacturing should continue into today’s US session, but the ISM Non-Manufacturing (covering 90% of the US economy) could be the party-killer. Our stance today is a “buy-on-dips” ahead of the ISM Non-Manufacturing.

· Gold rallied 2.3% ($25) to new all-time highs at 1083, indicating more widespread distrust in the USD. Commodities also doing quite well.

· Watch out for ADP Employment Change at a leading indicator of Nonfarm Payrolls out in two days. The employment component of ISM Manufacturing on Monday came out in expansionary (that is 50+) territory for the first time since July 2008, which is positive for manufacturing payrolls. Initial jobless claims are, however, still very high.

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