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quinta-feira, novembro 05, 2009

Look out for interest rate announcements from ECB and BoE today

Look out for interest rate announcements from ECB and BoE today

BoE is out today (expected to hike the asset purchases to £225B from £175B). That should be an additional negative for GBP and could besides the weak USD be an additional support for commodities.

· The FOMC Statement again indicated low rates for “an extended period”. In our opinion that is at least half a year. BoE is out today (expected to hike the asset purchases to £225B from £175B). That should be an additional negative for GBP and could besides the weak USD be an additional support for commodities.
· Gold went higher after the Fed Statement and 10-year break-even inflation rates also 6 bps. Stocks sold off after Congress voted to cap credit card rates (this hitting financials).
· European session opens at a gap of around 1% lower, which looks like a buy to us – especially if/when BoE increases the asset purchase program.
· Watch out for NFP and Unemployment tomorrow. Especially the Unemployment Rate might spook the market by coming out at/above 10%.

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