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sexta-feira, setembro 11, 2009

Wakeup call - 11.09.09

Risk is still on

Stocks continued higher yesterday and we believe that it is still “risk on”, so expect stocks to go higher today – we still buy on dips. Look for Uni. of Michigan confidence release today.

· Stocks continued higher yesterday and we believe that it is still “risk on”, so expect stocks to go higher today – we still buy on dips.

· We have some macro data today, but only expect the U. of Michigan consumer confidence to be able to influence the market. It could disappoint given the poor showing by the ABC confidence index on Tuesday, though an actual drop is unlikely.

· US Jobless Claims was out yesterday and while they were slightly better than expected, it is amazing how many people are still applying for unemployment insurance each week. We worry that most of the drop in continuing claims can be explained by people who are transferred to the extended benefits program (unemployed 27 weeks or more).

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